Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Minnesota Twins
10-Day IL
Injury Hand
Est. Return 8/1/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Buxton continued his emergence as a power hitter last season and is still an elite defender in center field, but unfortunately he also continues to struggle to stay on the field. Strikeouts have been his Achilles' heel, but his 26.7% strikeout rate continued a downward trend from earlier in his career. Buxton can't shake the injury bug, missing 21 games due to a concussion, a shoulder injury and a sprained left foot. While the concussion was from a HBP, his aggressive play on defense puts wear on his body, which the Twins tried to reduce by having him play deeper in center field to avoid running into walls. He's also sliding feet first now and his steal attempts will likely be limited despite being perhaps the fastest player in the majors. Fewer stolen bases would limit his fantasy value, but Buxton remains a tantalizing talent who could put it all together at age 27 - if he can stay healthy. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#113
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $5.13 million contract with the Twins in December of 2020.
No decision on surgery yet
OFMinnesota Twins
Hand
June 22, 2021
Manager Rocco Baldelli said that the Twins have yet to determine whether Buxton will need surgery to address the fractured left hand he sustained in Monday's win over the Reds, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports. "I think we're actually looking into the best approaches for recovery," Baldelli said of Buxton, who was placed on the 10-day injured list Tuesday. "Like with any fracture, I think you have to ask those questions."
ANALYSIS
The Twins are expected to gain more clarity on the extent of Buxton's injury once he undergoes further testing in the coming days. If surgery is ultimately deemed necessary, Buxton would be in store for a longer absence, though he'll still likely miss multiple weeks even if he's able to treat the injury through rest and rehab. Minnesota recalled Gilberto Celestino from Triple-A St. Paul in a corresponding move, and he should get the chance to pick up starts in center field while Buxton is on the shelf. Nick Gordon and Max Kepler are other options at the position, and Rob Refsnyder (hamstring) should also factor into the mix in center if he's able to make a speedy return from the IL.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
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2017
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
7
5
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
1
4
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+36%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .908 132 24 6 18 2 .320 .348 .560
Since 2019vs Right .915 395 63 26 72 18 .275 .318 .597
2021vs Left 1.026 38 7 2 2 1 .368 .368 .658
2021vs Right 1.261 72 14 8 17 4 .369 .431 .831
2020vs Left .686 26 1 1 5 0 .250 .269 .417
2020vs Right .930 96 17 11 20 1 .277 .281 .649
2019vs Left .923 68 16 3 11 1 .317 .368 .556
2019vs Right .798 227 32 7 35 13 .245 .298 .500
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+33%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+61%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+147%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .771 260 33 11 43 10 .249 .293 .477
Since 2019Away 1.024 280 55 22 49 11 .312 .348 .677
2021Home .934 64 9 3 9 3 .322 .375 .559
2021Away 1.502 46 12 7 10 2 .432 .457 1.045
2020Home .517 78 7 4 13 1 .162 .179 .338
2020Away 1.279 57 12 9 14 1 .375 .386 .893
2019Home .853 118 17 4 21 6 .269 .325 .528
2019Away .810 177 31 6 25 8 .258 .307 .503
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Byron Buxton compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.16
 
BB Rate
3.6%
 
K Rate
22.7%
 
BABIP
.412
 
ISO
.398
 
AVG
.369
 
OBP
.409
 
SLG
.767
 
OPS
1.176
 
wOBA
.500
 
Exit Velocity
84.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
44.9%
 
Barrels/PA
17.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Buxton remains perhaps the most tantalizing and frustrating player in fantasy baseball. He showed growth with fewer strikeouts (career-low 23.1 K%) and increased power (.251 ISO) in 2019. Unfortunately, he once again missed significant time; he dealt with a wrist injury, a concussion, a sore back, a sore knee and finally a torn labrum in his left shoulder which prevented him from hitting after Aug. 1. While the wrist injury was a fluke, the result of a HBP, the other four were caused by him running into a wall or diving. A big part of Buxton's defensive value is his ability to make plays on balls few players can reach, so it may be hard to get him to dial back his aggressiveness. Buxton may be the fastest player in MLB, which results in supreme efficiency on the basepaths. He's got 30-40 potential, but needs to stay healthy. As long as he remains upright, he will be Minnesota's starting center fielder.
Buxton looked like a budding star in the second half of 2017 (.893 OPS, 11 HR), but followed that up with a lost year. He began last season by missing time with recurring migraines and played through a hairline fracture in his left big toe, which resulted in him being sent to the minors after hitting just .122 in 17 games. Then he missed several weeks with a wrist injury. When finally healthy, he hit .311 with three homers and a .901 OPS over 23 games, but Minnesota manipulated his service time and did not call him up in September. Buxton is the fastest player in baseball, which results in outstanding defense and supreme efficiency on the basepaths (34-for-35 on SB attempts over the past 168 games). He's been erratic at the plate, with stretches of promise and futility. His power/speed upside remains alluring entering his age-25 season, but he will need to make more consistent contact while avoiding injuries to have a shot at reaching that ceiling.
Buxton had epic struggles at the plate to begin last season, hitting .147 with a .433 OPS in the first month while striking out in 37 percent of his plate appearances. The Twins kept him in the lineup for his defense -- he was the top outfielder in baseball by most advanced metrics. Buxton completely changed his swing in May, dropping his leg kick and almost starting from scratch with some awkward initial at-bats. The radical changes helped as Buxton hit .300 with 11 home runs, an .893 OPS and a 27.6 percent strikeout rate after the All-Star break. Buxton may be the fastest player in the majors, which allows him to be supremely efficient on the basepaths, where he stole 29 bases on 30 attempts. Despite his second half renaissance, Buxton still has work to do with pitch recognition, which would lead to fewer strikeouts and more walks. Given his pedigree (No. 2 overall pick in 2012) and rare power-speed combo, Buxton’s upside appears unlimited entering his age-24 season.
Buxton was struggling through a second consecutive disappointing season in the majors before a strong September finish gave hope that the former top prospect may be ready to become a star. After hitting just .193 with one homer in his first 63 games in the majors, Buxton finished the season strong by batting .287 with 10 homers and a 1.011 OPS after he was called up again in September. He still needs to improve his low walk rate and terrible strikeout rate, but his power surge is likely for real as he hit 11 home runs with a .927 OPS at Triple-A. Buxton posses outstanding speed, which makes him a plus defender and should result in impact stolen-base totals if he can get on base more frequently. He's set to start in center field for the Twins and should get every chance to prove his September ascendance is for real.
Buxton began the season at Double-A and hit .283/.351/.489 with six home runs and 20 stolen bases in 59 games before he was called up to the majors in June. Just 11 games into his big league career, he landed on the DL after spraining his thumb. Buxton played 13 games at Triple-A after a long layoff and finally returned to the majors in mid-August. Given the job initially as Minnesota's starting center fielder, he struggled and had a part-time role in September. Buxton hit just .209 with a .576 OPS in the majors and looked overmatched as he was often lost and free swinging at the plate. He had an ugly 44:6 K:BB, a stark contrast to his minor league career where he showed impressive control of the strike zone. With Aaron Hicks out of the picture, Buxton appears destined to begin the season as Minnesota's starting center fielder, and there is still good reason to believe he'll be a five-tool star.
Buxton entered 2014 as the top prospect in baseball, but played just 31 games amid an injury-plagued season that set back his development a full year. Buxton suffered a pisotriquetral joint sprain in his left wrist in spring training and didn't begin his minor league season until May. After getting on the field at High-A Fort Myers, he aggravated the injury after just one week and proceeded to miss another two months. When he finally returned in July, he was quickly promoted to Double-A – where he suffered a season-ending concussion in a collision with a teammate in the outfield in his first game. He returned for the Arizona Fall League but didn't do much at the plate as he hit .263/.311/.298 before suffering yet another injury, a broken finger. None of Buxton's injuries are expected to be an issue in spring training, but his lack of playing time likely pushed back timetable for becoming the everyday center fielder for the Twins from 2015 to 2016. Further, his multitude of injuries – including a shoulder injury in the 2013 AFL – raise concerns that he's injury prone. However, his limited performance did nothing to dissuade analysts and scouts that he's still among the elite prospects in baseball. In 2013, he also showed impressive control of the strike zone, striking out in just 18.3% of his plate appearances, while drawing walks 13.2% of the time. Buxton's speed also results in outstanding defense in center field, and while his 12 home runs in 2013 weren't overly impressive, scouts expect him to develop more power as he grows. He'll likely begin 2015 at Double-A and the Twins will likely give him extended time in the minors to prove he can stay healthy. If everything goes well, he could push his way to Minnesota before the end of the season.
Buxton may be the best prospect in baseball after a season in which he displayed his five-tool talent, hitting .334/.424/.520 with 12 home runs and 55 stolen bases between Low-A and High-A. He began the season by hitting .341/.431/.559 for Low-A Beloit with 32 stolen bases in 68 games. He was then promoted to High-A Fort Myers, where he hit .326/.415/.472 with 23 stolen bases. Buxton, who is said to be the fastest player in the Twins' organization, led the entire minor leagues with 18 triples. He also showed impressive control of the strike zone, striking out in just 18 percent of his plate appearances, while drawing walks 13 percent of the time. Buxton's speed also results in outstanding defense in center field, and while his 12 home runs last season weren't overly impressive, scouts expect him to develop more power as he grows. His performance is more impressive since he did it at just age 19, as few players that young have posted an OPS of .990 in the pitcher-friendly Low-A Midwest League. He quickly drew comparisons to Mike Trout, who displayed similar numbers while playing for Low-A Cedar Rapids in his age-19 season (Trout hit .362/.454/.526 with six home runs in 81 games), and last season Buxton drew praise from many scouts who put him on par with Trout or even said he was the best player they had ever seen. Although Minnesota is typically slow to rush prospects through the system, they'll likely make an exception for Buxton. He'll begin the season at Double-A, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him entrenched as Minnesota's starting center fielder as early as June.
The No. 2 overall pick in the 2012 draft has the potential to develop into a top-notch, five-tool player for the Twins. He hit just .248 with a .792 OPS in 48 games between two levels of rookie ball, but showed promising signs by hitting five home runs and drawing walks in 10 percent of his plate appearances. He is also said to have the best speed in the organization. Buxton is far away from the majors at age 19 and the Twins do not rush prospects, but he could quickly climb to the top of Minnesota's prospect lists.
More Fantasy News
Back on IL
OFMinnesota Twins
Hand
June 22, 2021
The Twins placed Buxton (hand) on the 10-day injured list prior to Tuesday's game against the Reds, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Facing long-term absence
OFMinnesota Twins
Hand
June 22, 2021
Manager Rocco Baldelli said after Monday's 7-5 win over the Reds in 12 innings that while the Twins don't yet have a concrete timeline for Buxton's (hand) return, "The thought of weeks or a month or two could probably be a way to think about it," Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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X-rays show broken hand
OFMinnesota Twins
Hand
June 21, 2021
X-rays revealed Buxton suffered a boxer's fracture in his left hand during Monday's game against the Reds, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Headed for X-rays
OFMinnesota Twins
Hand
June 21, 2021
Buxton has been diagnosed with a left hand contusion and is set to undergo X-rays after exiting Tuesday's game against the Reds in the sixth inning, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
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Exits after HBP
OFMinnesota Twins
Hand
June 21, 2021
Buxton exited Monday's game against the Reds in the sixth inning after being hit by a pitch on the left hand in the forth inning, Megan Ryan of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports. He went 1-for-2 before being replaced by Nick Gordon in center field.
ANALYSIS
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