Jose Berrios
Jose Berrios
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Toronto Blue Jays
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Berrios had a similar season at the top of Minnesota's rotation to his two prior All-Star years with some skills growth. Berrios increased his average fastball velocity to a career-high 94.3 mph and a career-high 9.7 K/9. His gains were somewhat offset by a 3.7 BB/9, his worst rate since his struggles in his rookie season. In the opposite of his two prior seasons, he started slow (5.92 ERA over his first five starts) and finished strong (2.79 ERA over his final seven starts). Berrios is able to keep hitters off balance with an excellent curve ball that helped him generate a swinging strike rate of 11.6%, which was 20th in MLB among qualified pitchers. If he can keep the walks in check and avoid any prolonged slumps, he and Kenta Maeda will form a strong 1-2 at the top of the Minnesota rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#82
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $6.1 million contract with the Twins in December of 2020. Traded to the Blue Jays in July of 2021.
Takes down former team
PToronto Blue Jays
September 19, 2021
Berrios (12-8) allowed three runs on four hits, a walk and a hit batter with six strikeouts in 6.2 innings, earning the win Sunday versus Minnesota.
ANALYSIS
The 27-year-old turned in a quality start in his first start against Minnesota, the team he entered the majors with in 2016. Berrios gave up three doubles and a home run in the contest, but that hard contact ultimately didn't endanger Toronto's five-run lead from the first inning. The right-hander has a 3.45 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 187:43 K:BB across 180 innings overall. He lines up for his return to Target Field in a rematch with the Twins during next weekend's four-game series.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
95
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
99
How many pitches does Jose Berrios generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jose Berrios generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-40%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .241 922 233 75 200 50 4 33
Since 2019vs Right .236 917 213 45 200 31 2 22
2021vs Left .255 363 101 28 84 24 2 15
2021vs Right .194 371 86 15 66 13 0 6
2020vs Left .180 132 33 19 20 5 1 6
2020vs Right .298 131 31 7 36 4 0 2
2019vs Left .247 427 99 28 96 21 1 12
2019vs Right .254 415 96 23 98 14 2 14
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-15%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.36 1.11 227.2 17 12 0 9.6 2.2 1.0
Since 2019Away 3.92 1.25 215.2 14 8 0 8.6 2.7 1.2
2021Home 3.20 1.00 98.1 7 5 0 10.1 1.9 1.0
2021Away 3.75 1.16 81.2 5 3 0 8.5 2.4 1.1
2020Home 3.38 1.09 32.0 3 3 0 12.1 3.9 1.1
2020Away 4.65 1.55 31.0 2 1 0 7.3 3.5 1.2
2019Home 3.51 1.22 97.1 7 4 0 8.3 1.9 1.0
2019Away 3.84 1.22 103.0 7 4 0 9.2 2.6 1.3
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Stat Review
How does Jose Berrios compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.35
 
K/9
9.4
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
94.0 mph
 
ERA
3.45
 
WHIP
1.07
 
BABIP
.287
 
GB/FB
1.41
 
Left On Base
70.9%
 
Exit Velocity
80.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.2%
 
Spin Rate
2131 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.3%
 
Swinging Strike
10.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Berrios
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Good News, Bad News?
4 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, which offers plenty of double-dippers but only a few quality arms like Robbie Ray with two starts.
MLB Betting: Tuesday Best Bets
8 days ago
Michael Rathburn digs in for Tuesday night's MLB slate and lines up his best bets, including a look at Frankie Montas' strikeout prop as he rides a hot streak into his start against the Royals.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: The Race to 200 Innings
11 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as top-ranked Gerrit Cole likely will be with the great majority of starters who won't reach 200 innings this year.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Berrios had a career-best 3.68 ERA and made his second consecutive All-Star team, but faded in the second half for a second consecutive season. Berrios had a 3.00 ERA before the All-Star break, and 4.64 ERA in the second half. He had a 5.83 ERA over his last eight starts with a 1.55 HR/9 and appeared on fumes heading into the playoffs. His late-season fade belies his durability, as he topped 200 innings for the first time (15th in IP) and has never spent time on the injured list. While his strikeout rate declined slightly (from 25.4% to 23.2%) he improved his groundball (careeer-best 42.1%) and walk rates (career-best 6.1%). He also improved on the road after struggling away from home earlier in his career. Berrios looks set to remain a steady presence at the top of the Minnesota rotation and could take a leap forward if he can avoid another late-season decline.
Berrios became an All-Star in his second full season and enters 2019 as Minnesota's unquestioned ace. He boosted his K/9 from 8.6 to 9.5 while maintaining roughly league-average walk (2.8 BB/9) and groundball rates (41.5%). Unfortunately his strikeout gains were offset by a spike in HR/FB rate (9.1% to 12.8%), so his WHIP (1.14) moved into a top-20 range, while his ERA (3.84) ranked 32nd among qualified starters. In addition to limiting baserunners and missing bats, Berrios stood out for his durability, ranking 18th in MLB with 192.1 innings while logging seven-plus innings in 13 starts. He did appear to run out of gas late in the season with a 4.56 ERA and 4.7 BB/9 over the last two months, but still had a 10.1 K/9 over that stretch. Berrios has also had a troubling home-away split in his career, with a 4.85 road ERA last season. With good health, the 24-year-old righty should repeat his 2018 and with good luck and/or skills growth, he could surpass it.
Those who held firm in the belief that Berrios was the pitcher we saw in the minors and not the pitcher we saw in the majors in 2016 were handsomely rewarded last season. Berrios struggled so mightily in his big-league debut (8.02 ERA, 5.4 BB/9) it put into question his minor-league success, high pedigree (No. 32 overall pick in 2012) and prominent placement on prospect rankings from 2014 to 2016. He put those concerns to rest once called up to the majors in May by vastly reducing his walks (3.0 BB/9) while maintaining a solid strikeout rate (8.6 K/9) thanks largely to a 94 mph sinker with excellent late movement. He also heavily utilizes his four-seam fastball and hard 82 mph curveball, while occasionally mixing in a changeup, which is clearly his worst pitch. He'll need to improve his performance on the road (5.17 ERA and 12 homers allowed in 15 away starts), but otherwise looks set to take the mantle as Minnesota's ace at age 23.
Berrios entered last year as Minnesota's top pitching prospect, but his first tour of the majors went so poorly it raised questions about his viability to make an impact with the Twins. Berrios began the season at Triple-A and was spectacular at Rochester with a 2.51 ERA and 10.1 K/9 along with the good control he displayed in minors (2.9 BB/9). It was a different story in the majors, as he was hit hard across three stints. Berrios had an 8.02 ERA, gave up 12 home runs in 14 starts and was uncharacteristically wild with a 5.4 BB/9. Successful major league pitchers frequently struggle in their first trip to the majors, but few performed as poorly as Berrios. He did have a respectable 7.5 K/9 and 93.3 mph average fastball in the majors and earned a win with a decent final start (one earned run in five innings). He'll likely need to regroup at Triple-A at the start of the season before he gets another chance in the majors.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, is Minnesota's top pitching prospect and could win a spot in the starting rotation this spring. He began last season at Double-A Chattanooga and was dominant with a 3.08 ERA and 9.2 K/9. He then was even better after being promoted to Triple-A with a 2.62 ERA and 9.9 K/9. Minnesota decided not to call him up in September over concerns about his workload. People once questioned his upside given his smaller frame (6-feet, 187 pounds), but he's put most of those issues to rest after dominating at the higher levels of the minors. It's possible the Twins could keep Berrios at Triple-A for a couple weeks to gain an extra year of control, but he has proven all he can in the minors, and should be a mainstay in the Twins' rotation at some point in the early going.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, jumped three levels in 2014 and has staked his claim to be considered Minnesota's top pitching prospect. He began the season at High-A, but was promoted to Double-A in July after going 9-3 with a 1.96 ERA and 109:23 K:BB ratio in 96.1 innings. His numbers were not as impressive at Double-A as he had a 3.54 ERA and just a 6.2 K/9, but he held his own as a younger player age 20 at the level. Berrios then made one appearance in September at Triple-A. He has a mid-90s fastball and showed strong strikeout rates before Double-A (10.2 K/9 at High-A) with good control. While some analysts question his upside given his smaller frame (6-feet, 187 pounds), he's also seen as athletic with strong secondary pitches. Berrios will likely begin the season at Double-A, but a strong first few months could push him to the majors by the end of the summer.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, was impressive in his first full season as a professional. He had a 3.99 ERA, 8.7 K/9 and 100:40 K:BB ratio with Low-A Cedar Rapids at just 19 years old. He did give up 10 runs in 10 innings in his final two starts, after missing time with a right elbow contusion, but he's expected to be fully healthy by spring training. The high school draft pick out of Puerto Rico is not huge at 6-0, 190, but he's able to hit the mid-90s with his fastball and is seen as athletic. A strong season at High-A could put him in position to join the Minnesota rotation in 2015.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, had an impressive professional debut as he had a 1.17 ERA and 49:4 K:BB in 30.2 innings between two levels of rookie ball. The high school draft pick out of Puerto Rico is not huge at six-feet and 190 pounds, but he is able to hit the mid-90s with his fastball and is seen as athletic. He could quickly rise to among Minnesota's top pitching prospects with a strong showing in his first full season.
More Fantasy News
Cleared to start Sunday
PToronto Blue Jays
September 17, 2021
Berrios (abdomen) will start with no restrictions Sunday against the Twins, Mike Wilner of the Toronto Star reports.
ANALYSIS
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Feeling better Wednesday
PToronto Blue Jays
Abdomen
September 15, 2021
Manager Charlie Montoyo said Wednesday that he's hopeful that Berrios (abdomen) will be able to make his next start, Kaitlyn McGrath of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up injury in tough loss
PToronto Blue Jays
Abdomen
September 14, 2021
Berrios (11-8) was removed from Tuesday's start against the Rays with left abdominal tightness, Scott Mitchell of TSN.ca reports. He was charged with the loss after allowing one run on four hits with four strikeouts and zero walks across seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses seven strong
PToronto Blue Jays
September 14, 2021
Berrios (11-8) picked up a tough-luck loss after pitching seven innings of one-run ball against the Rays on Tuesday. He gave up four hits while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up third straight win
PToronto Blue Jays
September 9, 2021
Berrios (11-7) allowed two runs on five hits and two walks with eight strikeouts in 6.2 innings to earn the win over the Yankees on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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