Fernando Tatis

Fernando Tatis

22-Year-Old ShortstopSS
San Diego Padres
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Tatis was arguably the best player in baseball for much of the 2020 campaign, but a late-season swoon (.164/.242/.291 slash line over his final 62 PA) cost the youngster a legitimate shot at the NL MVP award. Still, Tatis solidified his reputation as one of the game's most exciting stars, finishing among a group of six players to register double-digit homers (17) and steals (11) in the shortened campaign. There's little Tatis doesn't do well; he consistently smashes the ball, ranking first among qualified hitters with a 62.2 Hard% and 95.9 mph average exit velocity and placing second with a 19.5% barrel rate last season. He also ranked in the 98th percentile in sprint speed, portending many years of juicy power-speed numbers to come. That's the kind of combination fantasy managers salivate over, so don't be surprised if Tatis goes first overall in a fair number of leagues ahead of the 2021 season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a 14-year, $340 million contract extension with the Padres in February of 2021.
Slated to forego surgery
SSSan Diego Padres
October 18, 2021
Tatis is expected to forego shoulder surgery during the offseason, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Tatis made three trips to the injured list during the 2021 campaign due to left shoulder injuries, but he was able to play for most of the season without requiring a procedure. While several people within the organization believed that the 22-year-old would require offseason surgery, he's expected to participate in strengthening exercises ahead of the 2022 campaign to prevent further injuries. Assuming Tatis remains healthy in the coming months, opting against surgery should allow him to have a more normal offseason.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
17
44
5
25
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
19
7
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+42%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left 1.013 286 53 17 41 9 .311 .413 .601
Since 2019vs Right .951 886 157 64 154 43 .288 .356 .595
2021vs Left .968 134 23 9 21 4 .284 .373 .595
2021vs Right .978 412 76 33 76 21 .282 .362 .616
2020vs Left .817 69 10 3 8 1 .250 .333 .483
2020vs Right .989 185 40 14 37 10 .290 .378 .611
2019vs Left 1.268 83 20 5 12 4 .419 .542 .726
2019vs Right .891 289 41 17 41 12 .294 .332 .559
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+22%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .911 572 90 36 75 30 .274 .360 .551
Since 2019Away 1.019 600 120 45 120 22 .311 .378 .640
2021Home .875 267 42 18 41 12 .239 .345 .530
2021Away 1.069 279 57 24 56 13 .323 .384 .685
2020Home .916 126 22 8 16 6 .275 .365 .550
2020Away .969 128 28 9 29 5 .283 .367 .602
2019Home .959 179 26 10 18 12 .323 .380 .579
2019Away .978 193 35 12 35 4 .312 .378 .600
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Fernando Tatis compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.41
 
BB Rate
11.4%
 
K Rate
28.0%
 
BABIP
.324
 
ISO
.328
 
AVG
.282
 
OBP
.364
 
SLG
.611
 
OPS
.975
 
wOBA
.413
 
Exit Velocity
83.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
47.1%
 
Barrels/PA
12.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Fernando Tatis
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Giants’ Lose First Baseman
65 days ago
In his final MLB column of the year, Jeff Stotts looks at injuries that will impact the last regular-season week of the year, starting with Brandon Belt who will miss time with a broken thumb.
MLB Barometer: End of Season Risers and Fallers
66 days ago
In his last Barometer of the season, Erik Halterman looks at players whose finish in earned auction value diverged most from their preseason draft position, starting with Jose Ramirez.
MLB Betting: September Futures Update
66 days ago
Michael Rathburn checks in on the futures market with the regular season coming to an end and the postseason looming. Can Max Scherzer's dominant run with the Dodgers bank him another Cy Young?
The Z Files: An Early View of the First Round
70 days ago
Todd Zola gives his early thoughts on potential first-round picks in 2022 drafts and thinks Trea Turner deserves strong consideration for the top spot.
MLB Barometer: 2021 All-Risers Team
73 days ago
Erik Halterman uses this week’s column to talk about players who have impressed him the most this year, including A’s first baseman Matt Olson.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
In his rookie campaign, Tatis blew away the lofty expectations that accompanied his rise up the prospect rankings. Among players with 300 or more plate appearances, Tatis placed 11th in wRC+ (150) while ranking in the top 15 in traditional metrics such as batting average (.317), slugging percentage (.590) and OPS (.969). The phenom was limited to 84 games due to a pair of stints on the injured list, but when healthy he flashed an impressive combination of speed and power, swatting 22 home runs and utilizing baseball's 18th-best sprint speed (29.3 ft/s) to swipe 16 bases. Tatis' high strikeout rate (29.6%) and unsustainable BABIP (.410) portend some batting-average regression, but he'll be only 21 years old on Opening Day and should improve his plate discipline as he matures. Even with some imperfections, Tatis possesses the necessary tools to be a legitimate 30-30 threat for many seasons to come.
Tatis has had a lot of success (133 wRC+ at Double-A as a 19-year-old) relative to age and level, but there are red flags in his profile that are not shared by the game's other elite prospects. He has a 27.9% strikeout rate at Double-A and only 26.7% of his hits went to the opposite field last year. His physical gifts can't be taught (easy plus power, above-average speed and athleticism) and he didn't turn 20 until Jan. 2, but his approach undeniably needs some work. Tatis could eventually provide Trevor Story-esque production at shortstop, but there will likely be some bumps along the road against big-league pitching. He missed the final six weeks of 2018 with a broken thumb, but was ready for winter ball and will open 2019 at Triple-A. The Padres say they will keep him on a fast track, but unless there is significant skills growth with his approach, he should not be expected to hit for a high average against big-league pitching if he debuts this summer.
Tatis became the first 18-year-old in the modern era to post a 20-20 season in the Midwest League. The 6-foot-3, 185-pound quick-twitch athlete may have slightly misled dynasty-league owners with his 21-homer, 29-steal campaign. He projects to be a 30-homer threat in the majors, but his steal totals should decline annually as he continues to mature physically. It is extremely rare for players his age to hit for that kind of power at Low-A while also showcasing a quality approach (124:75 K:BB). He could struggle to hit much higher than .275, but given his age, athleticism and aptitude for making adjustments, anything is possible on that front. The same could be said for his ability to stick at shortstop, as many expect him to eventually end up at third base, but such a move is unlikely to be made for at least a couple years. He is on track to enter 2019 alongside another junior (Vladimir Guerrero) as a top-three prospect in baseball.
At the time of the trade, it seemed that the Padres were simply getting salary relief and a low-level minor league throw-in from the White Sox for James Shields. Now, general manager A.J. Preller can point to his acquisition of Tatis as one of his best moves in what has been a calendar year full of excellent maneuvers. He was an above-average hitter as a 17-year-old in both the Arizona and Northwest leagues last year, and is still just scratching the surface of his potential. Tatis is already 6-foot-3, 185 pounds, so he will likely grow out of shortstop, but his bat should be good enough for him to profile as at least an average regular at third base. So far he has shown more speed than power, but that will not be the case for much longer. Tatis could offer 25-30 homer pop as he continues to mature physically. His future value will hinge on the continued development of his bat, but he is well ahead of schedule.
More Fantasy News
Closes campaign with two K's
SSSan Diego Padres
October 4, 2021
Tatis went 0-for-3 with a pair of strikeouts in Sunday's loss to the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Crushes long home run
SSSan Diego Padres
September 30, 2021
Tatis went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run and two strikeouts in an 8-3 loss to the Dodgers on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Wednesday
SSSan Diego Padres
September 29, 2021
Tatis is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Gets rare day off
SSSan Diego Padres
September 26, 2021
Tatis will sit Sunday against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Blasts home run No. 40
SSSan Diego Padres
September 23, 2021
Tatis went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and a walk in Wednesday's 8-6 loss to the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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