2024 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
3.97
WHIP
0.97
K
23
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Lopez had an impressive first season in Minnesota by finishing seventh in the AL Cy Young voting and going 2-0 and giving up one run in 12.2 innings in the postseason. Lopez changed his arsenal in the offseason to feature a sweeper as his primary off-speed pitch which resulted in more strikeouts. Lopez had a career-high 29.2% K% and 14.8% swinging K%. He allowed just a .215 wOBA and generated a 36.3% K% on his sweeper. He also set a new high 194 innings while maintaining career-best velocity (94.8 average mph fastball). The Twins signed him to a four-year, $73.54 million contract extension after his trade from Miami as they believe they traded for a true ace and felt validated by his playoff performance. Read Past Outlooks
Allows one run in no-decision
Lopez didn't factor in the decision Wednesday against the Orioles after he gave up one run on two hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander allowed nine runs (eight earned) while losing his past two outings but rebounded with a quality start Wednesday, with the only blemish against him being a solo homer by Gunnar Henderson. Lopez now has a 3.97 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 23:4 K:BB over 22.2 innings through four starts this season. He lines up for a favorable home matchup against the White Sox next week.
The right-hander allowed nine runs (eight earned) while losing his past two outings but rebounded with a quality start Wednesday, with the only blemish against him being a solo homer by Gunnar Henderson. Lopez now has a 3.97 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 23:4 K:BB over 22.2 innings through four starts this season. He lines up for a favorable home matchup against the White Sox next week.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Pablo Lopez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Pablo Lopez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-19%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .258 | 188 | 63 | 201 | 26 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .210 | 243 | 42 | 150 | 22 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .231 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .188 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .271 | 104 | 27 | 101 | 13 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .205 | 130 | 21 | 75 | 11 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .249 | 72 | 35 | 88 | 12 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .218 | 102 | 18 | 69 | 9 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-29%
ERA on Road
2024
-22%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 4.38 | 1.21 | 191.0 | 9.6 | 2.6 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.11 | 1.09 | 205.2 | 10.0 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.76 | 1.24 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.71 | 0.88 | 17.0 | 11.1 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.21 | 1.17 | 98.1 | 11.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.10 | 1.14 | 95.2 | 10.4 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2022Home | 4.55 | 1.25 | 87.0 | 8.1 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 3.00 | 1.09 | 93.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Pablo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
5.75K/9
9.1BB/9
1.6HR/9
1.2Fastball
94.9 mphERA
3.97WHIP
0.97BABIP
.268GB/FB
1.27Left On Base
61.8%Swinging Strike
14.8%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Closing in on long-term deal
Lopez and the Twins are close to finalizing a four-year, $73.5 million contract extension, Craig Mish of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
The deal would begin in 2024, per Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com, which means it would cover what would have been the first three years of free agency for Lopez. Lopez has posted a 1.73 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 33:6 K:BB across his first 26 innings with Minnesota.
The deal would begin in 2024, per Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com, which means it would cover what would have been the first three years of free agency for Lopez. Lopez has posted a 1.73 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 33:6 K:BB across his first 26 innings with Minnesota.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Pa-Lo answered the health concerns we highlighted last season as he took the ball all 32 times it was given to him and was one of 27 pitchers to throw at least 180 innings on the season. Yet, 2022 was a bit of a disappointment in his outcomes as he won 10 of the 32 starts for the struggling Miami club while his ERA jumped three quarters of a run from the previous season and his strikeout rate fell four percentage points. He was still tough to hit and stingy with baserunners, but his upside was limited by the misfortunes of the Miami offense. Lopez and Kyle Wright were extremely similar from a statistical profile this past season, yet Wright had 21 wins and a 3.19 ERA thanks to 5.3 runs per game while Lopez was supported with just 3.2 runs per outing. There was nothing wrong with the pitcher, rather, the surrounding cast was limiting his true fantasy upside. That could change after he was traded to Minnesota in January. He'll have a better supporting cast though a slightly less friendly park.
More Fantasy News
Surrenders five during loss
Lopez (1-2) was hit with the loss in Friday's game versus the Tigers after giving up five earned runs on six hits and three walks while striking out seven batters across four innings.
ANALYSIS
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Twins-Tigers game postponed
Lopez and the Twins won't play Thursday against the Tigers after the game was postponed because of inclement weather in Detroit.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to Cleveland
Lopez (1-1) took the loss Thursday versus the Guardians, allowing four runs (three earned) on six hits and a walk over 5.2 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Goes seven strong to earn win
Lopez (1-0) tossed seven innings, allowing one run on four hits with seven strikeouts to earn the victory in Minnesota's 4-1 win at Kansas City on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Working on pitches this spring
Lopez gave up two runs with two walks and three strikeouts over three innings in his second spring outing to raise his Grapefruit League ERA to 7.20. However, Lopez says he's been experimenting with different pitches rather than focusing on results, including throwing a rare 0-2 sinker to a lefty (Matt Olson), the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports. "It didn't work out. He hit it like 600 feet to center," Lopez said.
ANALYSIS
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