2024 Stats
W-L
0-1
ERA
6.57
WHIP
1.46
K
11
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Ober had a strong season that has him set to be a vital part of Minnesota's 2024 rotation. Ober began the season in the minors as the odd man out in a six-man rotation and got some spot starts in April before joining the rotation in May. He was sent down briefly in August to manage his workload, but finished strong with a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts (though he was hit hard in his lone playoff outing by giving up six runs in a loss). Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.4 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (5% BB%) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). His changeup became a lethal weapon by allowing just a .268 wOBA and helped lead to an overall 14.5% swinging K%. After throwing 144.1 innings, Ober shouldn't face any limitations on workload after staying healthy after struggling through injuries his first two major league seasons. Read Past Outlooks
Blanks Tigers over six innings
Ober pitched six scoreless innings, allowing three hits while striking out three batters in Sunday's 4-3 loss to the Tigers. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Ober was in full command Sunday, throwing 58 of his 84 total pitches for strikes while limiting Detroit to two doubles and a single. The right-hander has now combined to pitch 11 innings of one-run ball over his last two starts after allowing nine runs (eight earned) in his first start of the season against the Royals on March 31. Ober will look to build off of the momentum of his last two outings in his next start, which is projected to be Saturday at home against the Tigers.
Ober was in full command Sunday, throwing 58 of his 84 total pitches for strikes while limiting Detroit to two doubles and a single. The right-hander has now combined to pitch 11 innings of one-run ball over his last two starts after allowing nine runs (eight earned) in his first start of the season against the Royals on March 31. Ober will look to build off of the momentum of his last two outings in his next start, which is projected to be Saturday at home against the Tigers.
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
68
Last 10 Games
68
Last 5 Games
68
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-28%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .236 | 87 | 27 | 91 | 8 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .234 | 121 | 16 | 97 | 21 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .250 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .346 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .228 | 63 | 17 | 62 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .236 | 83 | 12 | 63 | 16 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .258 | 17 | 8 | 23 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .205 | 34 | 3 | 25 | 3 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-16%
ERA at Home
2024
-82%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 3.25 | 1.09 | 105.1 | 9.1 | 2.1 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.86 | 1.08 | 107.1 | 8.6 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.80 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 12.6 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2024Away | 9.82 | 1.77 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 1.2 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.30 | 1.07 | 76.1 | 8.4 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.57 | 1.06 | 68.0 | 9.9 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2022Home | 3.38 | 1.17 | 24.0 | 10.5 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2022Away | 3.09 | 0.97 | 32.0 | 6.5 | 1.4 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.67K/9
8.0BB/9
2.2HR/9
2.2Fastball
92.1 mphERA
6.57WHIP
1.46BABIP
.335GB/FB
0.78Left On Base
58.0%Swinging Strike
9.3%Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bailey Ober See More
Todd Zola presents the weekly pitcher rankings, and with all the pitcher injuries it’s almost fitting that Tyler Glasnow is leading the rankings.
Bailey Ober rebounded from a poor first start and could be a fine addition to your Sorare squad.
Stacking some Rays bats Monday against the Angels looks like a great DFS option.
Monday's PrizePicks for MLB DFS include Shohei Ohtani who should remain productive against Bailey Ober and the Twins.
The Yankees should hit well at home and make for a solid stack on Sunday's DraftKings MLB schedule.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
Ober improved on his rookie season in terms of ERA (3.21) and WHIP (1.5) but he made just 11 starts due injury. Ober was sidelined from early June to early September with an aponeurotic plate injury, which he described as a tendon pulling on his pelvic bone. He was lights out when he returned with a 2.01 ERA and a 22:4 K:BB ratio in 22.1 innings. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.6 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (1.77 BB/9) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Home runs allowed have been an issue in the past and he may have been lucky last season with a 4.8% HR/FB and since he was 12th worst among all pitchers in Barrel Rate allowed. Ober will compete for a spot in the rotation this spring and could be productive if he can keep the ball in the park and stay healthy.
More Fantasy News
Bounces back in second start
Ober did not factor into the decision Monday, allowing one run on three hits and two walks over five innings against the Dodgers. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Guardians-Twins postponed Sunday
Ober and the Twins won't face the Guardians on Sunday due to inclement weather in Minnesota, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Hit hard by Royals
Ober (0-1) picked up the loss after he pitched 1.1 innings, allowing eight runs on nine hits and a walk while striking out a batter, in Sunday's 11-0 defeat against the Royals.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Strikes out seven in spring start
Ober gave up one run with seven strikeouts and no walks over three innings in Saturday's spring training loss to Philadelphia. He reached a carer-high 94.8 mph with his fastball, and Ober said he hopes to gain more velocity from offseason workouts, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Gets call for Game 1
Ober will start Saturday against the Astros in Game 1 of the ALDS, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.